Cause Awareness as a Factor against Cause Neutrality
If all trade is voluntary, then what is "exploitation?"
Darmani
If all trade is voluntary, then what is "exploitation?"
Capitalism is a force that has lifted billions out of poverty, where even poor remote villagers enjoy luxuries that would have been unimaginable to medieval kings. When someone takes a job, even the worst job, it’s because both parties expect mutual gain. And yet companies routinely get accused of exploiting...
AI Capabilities vs. AI Products
It's a great time to start an AI company. You can create a product in days that would have been unbelievable just two years ago. Thanks to AI, there will soon be a one-person billion-dollar company. It's a terrible time to start an AI company. The singularity is fast approaching,...
How much does cybersecurity reduce AI risk?
AI is here, and AGI is coming. It's quite possible that any work being done now will be futile in comparison to reducing AI risk. This is one of those things that's unsettling for me as someone who did a Ph. D. in a non-AI area of computer science. But...
Nuclear Deterrence 101 (and why the US can't even hint at intervening in Ukraine)
This is a linkpost for https://acoup.blog/2022/03/11/collections-nuclear-deterrence-101/ . I found it a very good read for explaining the strategy behind the decisions and signaling in this war. I was inspired to post it as a supplement to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WX7tpnBCHWrmJcDym/why-a-no-fly-zone-would-be-the-biggest-gift-to-putin-and-why , as this piece explains why it's in Zelensky's interest to continue to...
What is a Counterfactual: An Elementary Introduction to the Causal Hierarchy
This is adapted from a segment of a talk I gave last year, primarily the portion at 6:09:00-6:11:00 of this stream. The example in this article originates from my paper "A Language for Counterfactual Generative Models," specifically Appendix A, which also features code for this example. I originally learned the...
Y2K: Successful Practice for AI Alignment
This is a linkpost for Martyn Thomas's What Really Happened in Y2K and its associated talk recording. Some spoke of a terrible catastrophe coming inevitably. They said the death toll could be in the millions, if not higher. An alarm was raised, but few paid attention. But soon it became...


Thank you! This really made your thesis click for me.