This pretty much checks out with my experience. Boring and bland is annoying, but the alternative is eating an entire box of lucky charms in six hours, so boring and bland it is.
I don't do it because it's fun; I do it because it's necessary. This (biological) hardware sucks so much.
It's a risk hedge, it has social benefits, and it has capacity / functionality benefits.
Risk hedge: If AI doesn't kill us, there will be a time lag between now and when we can transform ourselves/obsolete our biology. Maintaining your current biological hardware increases the odds of getting to the transformation state. If you're old (like me), this matters a lot.
Social benefits: Being in shape changes how you look, and that improves how other people treat you. Depending on how social you are, this may have a lot or very little impact.
Capacity / functionality: If you can run a mile, you can walk a mile without getting tired. You can climb stairs more... (read more)
Oh yeah. A wetsuit helps me immensely as well - I just lose heat too fast otherwise. It turns a chilly experience where I have to keep moving all the time, into a nice relaxing thing.
It might be that drugs will help here, but even if you're on drugs, I think brain training over long periods of time is worth investing in. Some examples which I have put effort into:
There's a simple, terrible answer: because studies are hugely expensive, very time intensive, take a very long time to complete, and require multiple very slow iterations to get everything through committee in a way that our institutions will accept. Consider:
- Nobody is funding it. The cost is literally hundreds of millions of dollars to do in a way that the medical establishment would accept. Even then it would be challenged.
- It would take thousands of man hours. Ain't nobody got time for that.
- It would take 3+ years to get everything approved and done properly, otherwise the medical establishment won't accept it. Actually they still probably won't.
- By the time you're done,... (read more)
I very much believe aligned AGI isn't going to just solve our problems overnight. It would have to be on the absolute far end of capability for that, IMO. Less-than-arbitrarily-powerful AGI is going to take time (years to decades) to figure out enough about biology to upload/fix our organic hardware while keeping us intact. Even for me, with my rather lax requirements about continuity (not required) and lax requirements of hardware platform (any), I expect it to take years if not decades.
Humans, barring extinction, will eventually solve aging. My best guess at the moment is that we'll hit longevity escape velocity around 2050; this is really inconvenient for me, because I am... (read more)
Unfortunately, political topics are like radiation, and pollute nearby ground as well. Peterson is radioactive in this regard, and using him as an example means your article is radioactive as well.
Analysis of a less radioactive expert may have been a better idea - perhaps someone like Peter Attia (I think he's less radioactive?)
I'm a tech worker. I work 40-70 hours a week, depending on incident load. Nobody I work with or see on a regular basis works less than 40 hours a week, and some are substantially more than that.
My most cognitively productive hours are the four hours in the morning, but there's plenty of lower effort important organizational stuff to fill out the afternoons. I think a good fraction of my coworkers are like me and don't actually need the job anymore, but we still put forth effort.
I think one of the major missing pieces of your article is "social status pressure". Most people play the status game; they struggle to get ahead of their neighbors, even if it doesn't make any sense. They work extra hours to afford that struggle. They demand more than the base necessities and comfort, because that's how you signal status. It's pointless and stupid, but IMO one of the biggest issues.
As a reductionist, I view the universe as nothing more than particles/forces/quantum fields/static event graph. Everything that is or was comes from simple rules down at the bottom. I agree with Eliezer regarding many-worlds versus copenhagen.
With this as my frame of reference, Searle's argument is trivially bogus, as every person (including myself) is obviously a Chinese Room. If a person can be considered 'conscious', then so can some running algorithm on a Turing machine of sufficient size. If no Turing machine program exists that can be considered conscious when run, then people aren't conscious either.
I've never needed more than this, and I find the Chinese Room argument to be one of those areas where philosophy is an unambiguously 'diseased discipline'.
For certain types of problems, quantum computing can provide an exponential speedup for ML algorithms. This is now being tested on actual QC hardware.
This strikes me as particularly concerning for hard take-off scenarios. It's a possible way to train dramatically larger AI systems faster, and it's likely to be in use for real problems within the next two decades.
What do you mean by this exactly? Does the other half come out as particles? If so, why not just dump the particles back in until everything comes out as energy?