Dufaer
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Dufaer has not written any posts yet.
All the links to your blog are broken.
(e.g. "abstracting compassion" leads to "http://lesswrong.com/2010-12-05" instead of "http://www.jefftk.com/news/2010-12-05.html")
I think Eliezer's reply (point '(B)') to this comment by Wei Dai provides some explanation, as to what the decision theory is doing here.
From the reply (concerning UDT):
... (read more)I still think [an AI ought to be able to come up with these ideas by itself], BTW. We should devote some time and resources to thinking about how we are solving these problems (and coming up with questions in the first place). Finding that algorithm is perhaps more important than finding a reflectively consistent decision algorithm, if we don't want an AI to be stuck with whatever mistakes we might make.
And yet you found a reflectively consistent decision algorithm long before you found a
From the "About" page:
The header image is a mashup [full size] of Wanderer above the Sea of Fog by Caspar David Friedrich and an artist's depiction of the Citadel from Mass Effect 2.
OK, let’s look at this: The prisoner receives 2 pieces of information from the warden at the beginning:
Assuming that the warden's claim is true, there are 5 possible outcomes:
Death at noon of Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu or Fri.
Assuming furthermore that the prisoner has no other information that and that he uses probability theory, he will construct the following uniform probability distribution:
P(Death at noon of X.)=1/5 where X can be Mon, Tue, Wed, Thu or Fri.
Furthermore he can now also infer the conditional probabilities
P(Death at noon of X.|Not dead after noon of Mon.)=1/4 for X = Tue,... (read 692 more words →)
Once again Harry's voice shrieked "Stupefy!", and later on, when she was remembering this, she could never quite believe she'd managed to do it, but she slashed out with her blade of light like it was a Beater's bat, and hit the stunbolt back at Harry who just barely managed to twist out of the way.
Seems more like just a further Star Wars reference to me.
Well, even if she was somehow protected, note that she was not passively protected (not like a shield spell) - she still had to move to deflect and:
They were both moving slowly, and Hermione guessed that the spell was taking a lot of strength out of them.
So... (read more)
Also, everyone seems to be shouting their incantations, which seems just dumb.
Harry could have also just Somniumed Daphne, after she has reflected his first Stunner and was currently cumbersomely battling Neville – it would cost him just the magical cost of a Sleep Hex itself. Instead he risks Neville getting heavily fatigued or even stunned and chats on.
Hi, there! Trying to get through the sequences. And past akrasia...
How is it even reasonable to expect some arbitrarily visitor to notice (or guess correctly) your gender?
Do you evaluate your writing style or your expressed thoughts to be so typically female as to yield to no other conclusion? Or do you count on the “obvious” connotations of a name like “Alicorn” - for it is surely obvious that anyone naming oneself thus must be thinking about some fluffy, girly sparkling unicorn instead of, for example, making a reference to the Invisible Pink Unicorn - or something (especially on a rationality website!).
There is no personal information on the user pages here on LS, and decidedly no gender marks on top of the posts... (read more)
Oh, how convenient, isn’t it? Well, then what about a self-deception in order to increase a placebo effect; in a case where the concerned disease may or may not be life-threatening?
If his explanation about the nature of the patronus was believed, the active patronuses should dispel. So if he demonstrated and convincingly explained his patronus and chose not to destroy the dementor he would be the sole person in the room with control over the creature.
EDIT: The trouble is, that even if he manages to control the Wizengamot in this way, he can only control them for so long, as they remain in the room.
So he probably would have to rely on their status and/or 'Most Ancient Tradition' keeping them from fleeing the room or calling in reinforcements, while he threatens to release the dementor and/or the information.
(Note that he wouldn't have to reveal his dementor-destroying ability this way, just his 'perfect shield'.)