The recent AI advancements have really driven home how close we are to Judgment Day and how much we need to work to prevent total destruction. I am deeply scared for the future. I have trouble enjoying the things I normally enjoy. They only remind me of What's At Stake.
I am currently stuck in mandatory military service in Israel for the next two years. Very few people in my surroundings have ever heard of alignment, lesswrong, or anything relevant. I am alone in this regard. I add this to explain that I am currently stuck and cannot contribute to research in any meaningful way.
What can I do? How can I help? Who can... (read more)
I may be misunderstanding the multiple statements technique. I'd be willing to bet on upwards of a million to one odds that France is bigger than Italy. I would not be willing to make a million related sentences and expect to only be wrong once. The misunderstanding prob comes from the vagueness of "related" sentences. What does that mean?
In any case, the technique is only as good as the ability to judge which statements are equally difficult to a given statement
In order to do that you already have to know how sure you are of each sentence!! Isn't that cyclical?
"Nothing has entered of left the building since our arrival."
(I'm new on this site. How do I quote like Pattern did?)
Did you mean "...or left the building..."?
I have to thank you. I was spiraling due to yudkowsky's writings. I even posted a question about what to do because I was paralyzed by the fear. This is a helpful post