I don't doubt that a lab leak is possible, but I would be curious to hear arguments about how, if it was leaked from the lab in Wuhan, it was spreading in Italy and Brazil months earlier: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0013935122013068
It does make sense to me that a lab working with similar pathogens would be on the lookout for clusters of new disease and would be likely to sequence any new disease clusters.
I really appreciated the post! A lot of food for thought.
It seems like something you might talk about more in the next edition, with green-according-to-blue, but there are just a few pieces of how I think about green that this post didn't explicitly capture, although maybe it's encoded in some of the yin-vs-yang discussions: