Richard Korzekwa

I'm not writing this to alarm anyone, but it would be irresponsible not to report on something this important. On current trends, every car will be crashed in front of my house within the next week. Here's the data: Until today, only two cars had crashed in front of my...

Every quarter, we have a newsletter with updates on what’s happening at AI Impacts, with an emphasis on what we’ve been working on. You can see past newsletters here and subscribe to receive more newsletters and other blogposts here. During the past quarter, Katja wrote an article in TIME, we...

Note: This was automatically imported from the AI Impacts blog and neither the footnotes nor the images imported properly. For now, I recommend reading it on our site. At AI Impacts, we’ve been looking into how people, institutions, and society approach novel, powerful technologies. One part of this is our...

The number of years until the creation of powerful AI is a major input to our thinking about risk from AI and which approaches are most promising for mitigating that risk. While there are downsides to transformative AI arriving many years from now, rather than few years from now, most...

Rick Korzekwa, March 3, 2023 A major theme in reporting on ChatGPT is the rapid growth of its user base. A commonly stated claim is that it broke records, with over 1 million users in less than a week and 100 million users in less than two months. It seems...

Note: This post is intended to be accessible to readers with relatively little background in AI safety. People with a firm understanding of AI safety may find it too basic, though they may be interested in knowing which kinds of policies I have been encountering or telling me if I’ve...

Cross-posted from the AI Impacts blog Summary In this post I outline apparent regularities in how major new technological capabilities and methods come about. I have not rigorously checked to see how broadly they hold, but it seems likely to me that they generalize enough to be useful. For each...