LESSWRONG
LW

loup-vaillant
924143310
Message
Dialogue
Subscribe

Posts

Sorted by New

Wikitag Contributions

Comments

Sorted by
Newest
No wikitag contributions to display.
What steep learning curve do you wish you'd climbed sooner?
loup-vaillant11y30

I, on the other hand love my cello. I also happen to enjoy practice itself. This helps a lot.

Reply
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 28, chapter 99-101
loup-vaillant12y90

I have defeated the hydra! (I had to cut off 670 heads). Feels like playing Diablo.

Reply
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 28, chapter 99-101
loup-vaillant12y30

But when you think of it, if you assume the centaur Firenze wasn't dead, Imperius is probably not the best option anyway

Reply
2013 Less Wrong Census/Survey
loup-vaillant12y160

I took the survey (answered nearly everything).

Reply
The dangers of zero and one
loup-vaillant12y20

(7): indentation error. But I guess the interpreter will tell you i is used out of scope. That, or you would have gotten another catastrophic result on numbers below 10.

def is_prime(n):
for i in range(2,n):
    if n%i == 0: return False
return True

(Edit: okay, that was LessWrong screwing up leading spaces. We can cheat that with unbreakable spaces.)

Reply
Probability, knowledge, and meta-probability
loup-vaillant12y50

I don't like your use of the word "probability". Sometimes, you use it to describe subjective probabilities, but sometimes you use it to describe the frequency properties of putting a coin in a given box.

When you say, "The brown box has 45 holes open, so it has probability p=0.45 of returning two coins." you are really saying that knowing that I have the brown box in front of me, and I put a coin in it, I would assign a 0.45 probability of that coin yielding 2 coins. And, as far as I know, the coin tosses are all independent: no amount of coin toss would ever tell me anything about the next coin toss. Simply put, a box, along with the way we toss coins in it has rather definite frequency properties.

Then you talk about "assigning probabilities to each possible probability between 0 and 1". What you really wanted to say is assigning a probability distribution over the possible frequency properties.

I know it sounds pedantic, but I cringe every time someone talks about "probabilities" being some properties of a real object out there in the territory (like amplitudes in QM). Probability is in the mind. Using the word any other way is confusing.

Reply
Help us name a short primer on AI risk!
loup-vaillant12y00

It just occurred to me that we may be able to avoid the word "intelligence" entirely in the title. I was thinking of Cory Doctorrow on the coming war on general computation, where he explain unwanted behaviour on general purpose computers is basically impossible to stop. So:

Current computers are fully general hardware. An AI would be fully general software. We could also talk about general purpose computers vs general purpose programs.

The Idea is, many people already understand some risks associated with general purpose computers (if only for the various malware). Maybe we could use that to draw attention to the risks of general purpose programs.

That may avoid drawing unwanted associations with the word "intelligence". Many people believe that machines cannot be intelligent "by definition". Many believe there is something "magic" between the laws of physics and the high-level functioning of a human nervous system. They would be hard-pressed to admit it outright, but it is at the root of a fundamental disbelief of the possibility of AI.

As for actual titles…

  • The Risks of General Purpose Software.
  • General Purpose Computers can do anything. General Purpose Programs, will. (Sounds better as a subtitle, that one.)

(Small inconvenience: phrasing the title this way may require to touch the content of the book itself.)

Reply
Help us name a short primer on AI risk!
loup-vaillant12y00

Or, "Artificial intelligence as a risk to mankind". (Without the emphasis.)

Reply
Rationality Quotes September 2013
loup-vaillant12y20

Good luck finding one that doesn't also bias you into a corner.

Reply
Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 27, chapter 98
loup-vaillant12y10

Maybe we could explain it by magical risks, and violence. I wouldn't be surprised if wizard kill each other more than muggles. With old-fashioned manners, may come old fashioned violence. The last two wars (Grindelwald and Voldemort), were awfully close, and it looks like the next one is coming.

If all times and all countries are the same, with a major conflict every other generation, it could easily explain such a low population.

Reply
Load More
6[LINK] Rhonda Cornum: How to Create a Strong Army and Society
13y
4
65The Yudkowsky Ambition Scale
13y
61
16How to deal with non-realism?
13y
168
-30Left-wing Alarmism vs. Right-wing Optimism: evidence on which is correct?
13y
46
15Not insane. Unsane.
13y
65
16The Sword of Good: I need some help to translate it
14y
19
-11Less Wrong meets…
14y
2
34I'm becoming intolerant. Help.
14y
85
3[Site Redesign Bug] Discussion post are duplicated in the main site.
14y
2
8[Meta] [Solved] Unstable Karma
14y
9
Load More