LESSWRONG
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Lysseas
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Bayes' Theorem Illustrated (My Way)
Lysseas14y30

I tend to think out Monty Hall like this: The probability you have chosen the door hiding the car is 1/3. Once one of the other two doors is shown to hide a goat, the probablity of the third door hiding the car must be 2/3. Therefore you double your chances to win the car by switching.

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