The Confido Institute is developing a forecasting / quantified uncertainty tool, Confido (more about it in our post or see the demo). Originally, is was designed mainly for teams but we have seen quite a lot of interest from individuals wanting to use it to train and improve their epistemic...
Cross-posted from the EA forum. We have originally created this tool for non-technical EA and policymaker audiences so many of you may not be our original target audience. However, we think (1) you may find it useful when communicating/teaching rationality concepts to others, (2) there has been some interest from...
The main highlight is the ability to run self-hosted on your own infrastructure (again, this was done to allow use in government setting where there are usually tight restrictions on who can handle data). This is always recommended when privacy and security is improtant for you (not just with our tools but with anything that processes sensitive data in general). Also, it is open source so anyone can check that we are not doing anything fishy.
As for workspaces hosted by us, everything is hosted in the EU with strict GDPR data protection laws. The user always controls their data, who it is shared with, etc. When you delete something, it is actually... (read more)
The Confido Institute is developing a forecasting / quantified uncertainty tool, Confido (more about it in our post or see the demo).
Originally, is was designed mainly for teams but we have seen quite a lot of interest from individuals wanting to use it to train and improve their epistemic skills.
If you are interested in such a tool, what features (or other properties) would you most like to see (so that you'd be happy to use such a tool on a daily basis)?
Cross-posted from the EA forum.
We have originally created this tool for non-technical EA and policymaker audiences so many of you may not be our original target audience.
However, we think (1) you may find it useful when communicating/teaching rationality concepts to others, (2) there has been some interest from rationalists to use our tool for their personal predictions and self-improvement.
While you may not find our emphasis on beginner-friendliness important, you might find our other important goal, practical convenience and good user experience, valuable.
We have heard from so many people that they want to do personal predictions but implementation is too hard and inconvenient. We'd like to help that. We are also prepared to... (read 2803 more words →)
For me, the core of the rationality project is something like a determination to make your beliefs completely subservient to reality, at all costs, fighting your natural instincts for defending your beliefs, trying to win debates, etc. Not trusting your beliefs just because they are yours. Approaching the most controversial and divisive subjects with a curiosity mindset. Looking forward to changing your mind.
Most "normally rational" people can do this in technical and scientific matters, but in other domains, such as politics, philosophy, society, economics, religion and their personal lives (to some extent), such a stance is extremely uncommon, even among very "normally rational" and highly-educated people -- thus according to your taxonomy,... (read 453 more words →)
Good point. You can try measuring it with and ohmmeter from the side, there should be ~ no measurable resistance.
Perhaps you could also wind thin-ish non-stranded copper wire around a door handle, as if on a spool. This might easier to obtain for some people (or they already have it at home) and won't have the sharp edged that can cut your hand. If it does not want to stay in place, perhaps also put double-sided adhesive tape under it? Haven't had the opportunity to try this yet, just speculating
Is the recording schedule based on Patreon cash flow? I.e. if more people support, could we get episodes faster? Or is it also limited by your time? (not sure how much manual labour goes into this vs just paying for the service) Would it be possible to put money toward a specific project? This may be an interesting incentive for people who'd like to see more of their favourite story sooner:)