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teraflipflop

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Publicly disclosing compute expenditure daily as a safety regulation

Instead of edge-casing every statement, I'm going to make a series of assertions in their strongest form so that discussion can be more productive. 1. AGI is inevitable. 2. The big labs are the only ones with the resources to achieve AGI. 3. The first lab to achieve AGI will...

May 27, 2024•-4

teraflipflop

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teraflipflop — LessWrong

teraflipflop

Message

-5

Publicly disclosing compute expenditure daily as a safety regulation

May 27, 2024•-4

teraflipflop

-5

Publicly disclosing compute expenditure daily as a safety regulation

teraflipflop

Instead of edge-casing every statement, I'm going to make a series of assertions in their strongest form so that discussion can be more productive.

AGI is inevitable.
The big labs are the only ones with the resources to achieve AGI.
The first lab to achieve AGI will have a huge, permanent advantage over the rest.
(2) and (3) ⇒ the big labs are currently in a fight for a knife in the mud.
No lab will stop development just before reaching AGI voluntarily.
No lab can be made to stop development after reaching AGI even involuntarily.
The first lab to achieve AGI will try to spend as much compute as possible, as early as possible, as fast as possible

... (read 315 more words →)

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