Viktor Riabtsev
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Viktor Riabtsev has not written any posts yet.
Viktor Riabtsev has not written any posts yet.
One of these does log( prob/ 1 - prob) the other does log( prob) ...
I get your point about orders of magnitude difference, but for me this ends up more confusing then anything.
Ordered Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems . Looking forward to reading it.
I wrote this out for myself in attempt to fully grasp this and maybe someone else might find it useful:
You have two theories, A and B. A is more complex then B, but has sharper/more precise predictions for it's observables. i.e. given a test, where it's either +-ve or -ve (true or false), then we necessitate that P(+ | A) > P(+ | B).
Say that P(+ | A) : P(+ | B) = 10 : 1, a favorable likelihood ratio.
Then each successful +-ve test gives 10 : 1 odds for theory A over theory B. You can penalize A initially for algorithmic complexity and estimate/assign it 1 : 10^5 odds for it;... (read more)