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At least we probably won’t have another pandemic. And we still have a partial Jones Act waiver. For now. Small victories. TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Hanta Hanta I Don’t Wanta. 2. Bad News. 3. Predictions Can Be Easy Even About The Future. 4. Good Advice. 5. The Efficient Market Hypothesis...
This is what a lull looks like at this point. The government is having internal arguments. The models are getting improved internally. The coding agent improvements are all what we would expect. There’s still a lot happening, including a bunch of cool papers, but I feel able to relax and...
The real recent story of AI has been the background work being done on Cybersecurity, as we process the Mythos Moment along with GPT-5.5, and figure out both how to patch the internet and what our new regulatory regime is going to look like. The Trump Administration is being dragged,...
We did reading yesterday. Now we do the math. Math is hard. It does not have to be this hard. A large part of the reason math is hard, or boring, is that education studies, especially in math, are worse than you know. It goes beyond the studies failing both...
Reading is the most fundamental thing in education. If you can read, you can do and learn everything else. If you can’t read, well, you’re screwed. We know how to teach reading to children. Phonics. The weird thing is we often choose to not do that, and instead to use...
When I started this series, everyone was going crazy for coding agents. Now a lot more people are going crazy for coding agents, as well they should given how much better coding agents keep getting, but also Everybody Knows they are good and is focusing on actually using them. With...
The era of training frontier models and then releasing them whenever you wanted? That was fun while it lasted. It looks likely to be over now. The White House wants to get an advance look and have the option to veto your release decisions, and it has used this veto...