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lordweiner27 comments on The Amanda Knox Test: How an Hour on the Internet Beats a Year in the Courtroom - Less Wrong

42 Post author: komponisto 13 December 2009 04:16AM

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Comment author: lordweiner27 14 December 2009 11:20:01AM 12 points [-]

Having review your evidence and some other evidence that I was pointed in the direction of I have to admit I may have been wrong. Knox and the other guy are probably innocent.

There were a few things that lead me to my original conclusion: -The DNA evidence -Amanda changing her story -My belief that it was ridiculous that the police would go to all this effort to frame them if they were innocent.

The DNA evidence has been refuted, I can't say I understand this but I'm willing to accept there is a lot of doubt there.

Amanda changing her story seems like evidence that she is a liar and seems a ridiculous thing to do if you are a murder suspect. (I still think it was really stupid of her and totally the wrong thing to do.) But at the the time she wasn't more of a witness than a suspect and she possibly believed that this would get her off the hook and out of interrogation.

The third point about the police conspiracy is the most interesting. I have a huge bias against conspiracy theories. As soon as anyone starts to go "Wake up sheeple, you're being controlled." I immediately switch off. The quote you use from me at the beginning of your article is partly a reference to this. Of course you are right juries can be wrong. I just tend to think that the simplest answer is normally the best. That's it's more likely that she is guilty, than that the police dept in Italy have a massive desire to convict and innocent woman.

However on reading more about the case, I discovered that the police had a theory it was Knox, Sollecito and Knox's boss before the evidence about Guede turned up. They announced this to the world. When Guede turned up, which normally would have been the end of the case they stuck with their original theory substituting Guede for Knox's boss.
So their motive for wanting to convict Knox and Sollecito was not a conscious devious one but an unconscious subtle one. The didn't want to be embarrassed and shown to be wrong in the eyes of the world media.

Btw, this is the third time I've been proved to be wrong on the internet this week. Either I'm not a very good rationalist or I just spend to much time on the internet.

Comment author: Unknowns 14 December 2009 11:38:21AM -1 points [-]

That original theory was based on Knox's testimony-- at that point it wasn't unreasonable for the police to accept it.

Comment author: Jack 14 December 2009 01:05:43PM 2 points [-]

Unless they fed the testimony to her based on a text message that said "See you later." And frankly the conspiracy between the three of them and Knox's active participation in the murder wasn't in the testimony (as far as I can tell) she just reported recalling images of her boss associated with the screams of Kercher. At most it was just a confession to being at the scene.