Multiheaded comments on Welcome to Less Wrong! (2012) - Less Wrong

25 Post author: orthonormal 26 December 2011 10:57PM

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Comment author: Multiheaded 03 January 2012 07:52:52PM 0 points [-]

We clearly need to find out what kinds of emotional responses are calibrated by what adaptations in what proportion. Nominating status-seeking as the most important human drive here out of the blue just seems unjustified to me in this moment.

Comment author: Nornagest 03 January 2012 08:13:26PM *  3 points [-]

There's a tradition of examining that frame here that's probably inherited from Overcoming Bias; it's related to a model of human cognitive evolution as driven primarily by political selection pressures, which seems fairly plausible to me. I should probably mention, though, that I don't think it's a complete model; it's fairly hard to come up with an unambiguous counterexample to it, but it shares with a lot of evo-psych the problem of having much more explanatory than predictive power.

I think it's best viewed as one of several complementary models of behavior rather than as a totalizing model, hence the "frame" descriptor.

Comment author: Multiheaded 03 January 2012 08:21:44PM *  2 points [-]

I described it as a frame because I think it's best viewed as one of several complementary models of behavior rather than as a totalizing model.

I have a suspicion that we'll only be able to produce any totalizing model that's much good after we crack human intelligence in general. I mean, look at all this entangled mess.

Comment author: Nornagest 03 January 2012 08:27:11PM *  4 points [-]

Well, "that's much good" is the tough part. It's not at all hard to make a totalizing model, and only a little harder to make one that's hard to disprove in hindsight (there are dozens in the social sciences) but all the existing ones I know of tend to be pretty bad at prediction. The status-seeking model is one of the better ones -- people in general seem more prone to avoiding embarrassment than to maximizing expected money or sexual success, to name two competing models -- but it's far from perfect.

Comment author: Multiheaded 03 January 2012 08:28:09PM 0 points [-]

Yup. My point exactly.

Comment author: TheOtherDave 03 January 2012 08:25:28PM 2 points [-]

Well, couching things in terms of status-signaling is conventional around here. But, sure, there are probably better candidates. Do you have anything in particular in mind you think should have been nominated instead?

Comment author: Multiheaded 03 January 2012 08:38:13PM 0 points [-]

Nothing in particular, no, just skepticism. A (brief, completely uneducated) outside view of the field especially suggests that elegant-sounding theories of the mind are likely to fail bad at prediction sooner or later.