Multiheaded comments on Welcome to Less Wrong! (2012) - Less Wrong

25 Post author: orthonormal 26 December 2011 10:57PM

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Comment author: Multiheaded 03 January 2012 08:21:44PM *  2 points [-]

I described it as a frame because I think it's best viewed as one of several complementary models of behavior rather than as a totalizing model.

I have a suspicion that we'll only be able to produce any totalizing model that's much good after we crack human intelligence in general. I mean, look at all this entangled mess.

Comment author: Nornagest 03 January 2012 08:27:11PM *  4 points [-]

Well, "that's much good" is the tough part. It's not at all hard to make a totalizing model, and only a little harder to make one that's hard to disprove in hindsight (there are dozens in the social sciences) but all the existing ones I know of tend to be pretty bad at prediction. The status-seeking model is one of the better ones -- people in general seem more prone to avoiding embarrassment than to maximizing expected money or sexual success, to name two competing models -- but it's far from perfect.

Comment author: Multiheaded 03 January 2012 08:28:09PM 0 points [-]

Yup. My point exactly.