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Manfred comments on Open thread, Oct. 17 - Oct. 23, 2016 - Less Wrong
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This is a perfectly valid presentation. A better one would be to ditch the lists and just say "0.99 to MWI" or "probability 0.5 of MWI, 0.2 of consciousness causes collapse, the rest distributed among unknown unknowns."
Even better would be to assign a smaller probability to consciousness causes collapse :P