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John_Maxwell_IV comments on Marketing Rationality - Less Wrong Discussion

28 Post author: Viliam 18 November 2015 01:43PM

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Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 24 November 2015 05:41:35AM *  4 points [-]

One idea is to try to teach your audience about overconfidence first, e.g. the way this game does with the calibration questions up front. See also.

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 24 November 2015 10:07:11PM 5 points [-]

Nice idea! Thanks for the suggestion. Maybe also a Caplan Test.

Comment author: PipFoweraker 26 November 2015 10:17:00PM 1 point [-]

I'll second the suggestion of introducing people to overconfidence early on, because (hopefully) it leads to a more questioning mindset.

I would note that the otherwise-awesome Adventures in Cognitive Biases' calibration is heavily geared towards a particular geographic demographic, and that several of my peers that I've introduced this to were a little off-put by it, so consider encouraging them to stick through the calibration into the more meaty subject matter of the Adventure itself.

Comment author: Gleb_Tsipursky 27 November 2015 04:24:22AM 0 points [-]

Thanks!