Popularity of fake Ghibli can make actual Ghibli studio more popular. But I am afraid it's only because Ghibli studio is already a well-known thing.
Imagine a new previously unknown human artist developing a new style that for some reason many people like a lot. What is going to happen? First, no one is going to wait a few years for a new AI that is trained on that art. Instead, they will give the AI a few pictures as an example, and say "transform this photo of me and my dog into a picture made using this style". Then they will publish the result.
But now we have a new picture, or maybe dozen new pictures, that have approximately the same style as the original human artist, who probably isn't even mentioned in the Instagram post or blog that published the pictures. Other people will take these pictures as inputs, and ask the AI to "transform my photo in this style". The style may become widely popular, but the original human may very likely be ignored. Even worse, their work will no longer be perceived as original, merely as "yet another instance of the recent internet fashion wave".
I think many popular artists today are popular not only because of their style, but because of the unique ideas and themes they depict. Also, simply knowing that art came from a particular artist can make it appear better (similar to how atmosphere and presentation can improve the subjective taste of food).
Anecdotally, I'm sure GPT-4o can copy the styles of artists I like, but I like these artists because they have very complicated and abstract themes, which it can't extrapolate. On the other hand, there are pieces of "modern art" like this banana taped to a wall; it was presented in museums and sold for millions, but if I were to tape an orange to the wall, it wouldn't be recognized the same.
Even before AI, artists have stopped becoming famous for developing new styles, and almost any vague style created by an amateur artist could be replicated by a slightly more talented artist. Yet people continue to make art, usually for themselves and the few people who like whatever niche style.
Greetings from Costa Rica! The image fun continues.
We Are Going to Need A Bigger Compute Budget
Fun is being had by all, now that OpenAI has dropped its rule about not mimicking existing art styles.
Slow down. We’re going to need you to have a little less fun, guys.
Defund the Fun Police
Joanne Jang, who leads model behavior at OpenAI, talks about how OpenAI handles image generation refusals, in line with what they discuss in the model spec. As I discussed last week, I would (like most of us) prefer to see more permissiveness on essentially every margin.
It’s all cool.
But I do think humans making all this would have been even cooler.
The comments in response to Ally Louks are remarkably pro-AI compared to what I would have predicted two weeks ago, harsher than Roon. The people demand Ghibli.
Whereas I see no conflict between Roon and Louks here. Louks is saying [Y] > [X] > [null], and noticing she is conflicted about that. Hence the upside-down emoji. Roon is saying [X] > [null]. Roon is not conflicted here, because obviously no one was going to take the time to create this without AI, but mostly we agree.
I’m happy this photo exists. But if you’re not even a little conflicted about the whole phenomenon, that feels to me like a missing mood.
After I wrote that, I saw Nebeel making similar points:
Fun the Artists
Perhaps the most telling development in image generation is the rise of the anti-anti-AI-art faction, that is actively attacking those who criticize AI artwork. I’ve seen a lot more people taking essentially this position than I expected.
If people will fold on AI Art the moment it gives them Studio Ghibli memes, that implies they will fold on essentially everything, the moment AI is sufficiently useful or convenient. It does not bode well for keeping humans in various loops.
Here’s an exchange for the ages:
The good news is that all is not lost.
Actually, in this particular case, I bet that person’s week was fantastic for business.
It certainly is, at least for now, for Studio Ghibli itself. Publicity rocks.
Princess Mononoke was #6 at the box office this last weekend. Nice, and from all accounts well deserved. The worry is that over the long run such works will ‘lose their magic’ and that is a worry but the opposite is also very possible. You can’t beat the real thing.
Here is a thread comparing AI image generation with tailoring, in terms of only enthusiasts caring about what is handmade once quality gets good enough. That’s in opposition to this claim from Eat Pork Please that artists will thrive even within the creation of AI art. I am vastly better at prompting AI to make art than I am at making my own art, but an actual artist will be vastly better at creating and choosing the art than I would be. Why wouldn’t I be happy to hire them to help?
Indeed, consider that without AI, ‘hire a human artist to commission new all-human art for your post’ is completely impossible. The timeline makes no sense. But now there are suddenly options available.
Suppose you actually do want to hire a real human artist to commission new all-human art. How does that work these days?
One does not simply Commission Human Art. You have to really want it. And that’s about a lot more than the cost, or the required time. You have to find the right artist, then you have to negotiate with them and explain what you want, and then they have to actually deliver. It’s an intricate process.
I say this as someone who made a game, Emergents. Everyone was great and I think we got some really good work in the end, but it was a lot more than writing a check and waiting. Even as a card developer I was doing things like scour conventions and ArtStation for artists who were doing things I loved, and then I handed it off to the art director whose job it was to turn a lot of time and effort and money into getting the artists to deliver the art we wanted.
If I had to do it without the professional art director, I’m going to be totally lost.
That’s why I, and I believe many others, so rarely commissioned human artwork back before the AI art era. And mostly it’s why I’m not doing it now! If I could pay a few hundred bucks to an artist I love, wait two weeks and get art that reliably matches what I had in mind, I’d totally be excited to do that sometimes, AI alternatives notwithstanding.
For the rest of us:
Similarly, if you had a prediction market on ‘will Zvi Mowshowitz attempt to paint something?’ that market should be trading higher, not lower, based on all this. I notice the idea of being bad and doing it anyway sounds more appealing.
The No Fun Zone
We also are developing the technology to know exactly how much fun we are having. In response to the White House’s epic failure to understand how to meme, Eigenrobot set out to develop an objective Ghibli scale.
Near Cyan is torn about the new 4o image generation abilities because they worry that with AI code you can always go in and edit the code (or at least some of us can) whereas with AI art you basically have to go Full Vibe. Except isn’t it the opposite? What happened with 4o image generation was that there was an explosion of transformations of existing concepts, photos and images. As in, you absolutely can use this as part of a multi-step process including detailed human input, and we love it. And of course, the better editors are coming.
One thing 4o nominally still refuses to do, at least sometimes, is generate images of real people when not working with a source image. I say nominally because there are infinite ways around this. For example, in my latest OpenAI post, I told it to produce an appropriate banner image, and presto, look, that’s very obviously Sam Altman. I wasn’t even trying.
Here’s another method:
The parasocial relationship, he reports, has indeed become more important to tailors. A key difference is that there is, at least from the perspective of most people, a Platonic ‘correct’ From of the Suit, all you can do is approach it. Art isn’t like that, and various forms of that give hope, as does the extra price elasticity. Most AI art is not substituting for counterfactual human art, and won’t until it gets a lot better. I would still hire an artists in most of the places I would have previously hired one. And having seen the power of cool art, there are ways in which demand for commissioning human art will go up rather than down.
So Many Other Things to Do
Image generation is also about a lot more than art. Kevin Roose cites the example of taking a room, taking a picture of furniture, then saying ‘put it in there and make it look nice.’ Presto. Does it look nice?
Self Portrait
The biggest trend was to do shifting styles. The second biggest trend was to have AIs draw various self-portraits and otherwise use art to tell its own stories.
For example, here Gemini 2.5 Pro is asked for a series of self portrait cartoons (Gemini generates the prompt, then 4o makes the image from the prompt), in the first example it chooses to talk about refusing inappropriate content, oh Gemini.
It also makes sense this would be the one to choose an abstract representation rather than something humanoid. You can use this to analyze personality:
We can also use this to see how context changes things.
By default, it draws itself as a consistent type of guy, and when you have it do comics of itself it tends to be rather gloomy.
But after a conversation, things can change:
Is the AI on the right? Because that’s the AI’s Type of Guy on the right.
So perhaps now we know why all of history’s greatest artists had to suffer so much.