The PDF version can be read here.
In this essay, I will argue that most academic research is fake. The modern academy is not a reliable source of knowledge. Instead, it produces the pretense of knowledge.
Academic research can be fake in different ways. It can simply be false. It can be emotionally manipulative propaganda masquerading as knowledge. It can be irrelevant or meaningless.
These are the main causes of fake research:
- Ideological Bias
- Perverse Incentives
- Social Circularity
- Naive/Fake Empiricism
I’ll describe each and explain how it causes fake research.
(see the rest of the post in the link)
This claim could be restated as: most of the academic "research" is either false because authors did not intend to be honest (or conformed to unrelated biases), or false because authors did not have more accurate data (this kind of research becomes superseded over time, when more belief depth is acquired). This might be true.
However, I don't know what redundant articles do in that list; I suppose you're claiming more articles stating the same point do not provide more evidence to it, but replication and more experiments in good faith are always good.
And thereon the essay goes to saying "most" without any description what "research" is taken as a sample set. Hastings' comment, on the other hand, suggested some alternatives:
Major nitpicking here. If most true claims of human-centric studies are replicated, then each of the corresponding papers are redundant (as it'd have a duplicate); therefore, almost all research would be "fake, redundant, or useless". Moreover, for STEM fields "true, fake, outdated, or redundant" seems to describe universal set - that is, that statement is of no substance. I'd suggest clarifying what claims you had in mind, if you are not using them for emphasis only.
The best rule known to us - i.e. Bayesian reasoning - mandates that we simply treat "research" as stream of characters, and assess probabilities of each stream being shown to you if X were true and if X were false. That is intractable; after some fallback, you get at "correct for authors' biases, and assume that paper's claims represent average of what happens". I have the impression LessWrong does pretty much that.
Specific claim being true or false necessarily screens off being "emotionally manipulative propaganda". A weaker point that would stand, though: "often papers are emotionally manipulative, even when the claims presented in them are inappicable to most real situations or meaningless outside of academia".
I believe the further parts of Sections 1 and 2 are not of much interest for LessWrong, except that they attempt establishing common knowledge that academic "research" is commonly fake. Section 3, with specific suggestions, could be positively received when posted separately.
This is honestly some of the best feedback that I've received on this site, so thank you for your comment. I edited the introduction and I clarified what I meant by "redundant" research.
I once tried to quantify the validity of academic research, but I gave up on trying that. I talk more about this in my reply to Seth Herd.