I want to know what are good rationality exercises.
I was just on a call with Liron and PhilH, hanging out after the weekly LessWrong weekend event, and we discussed exercises that could happen on LessWrong.
Here is the list we generated:
- Thinking Physics
- Fermi Estimates
- Project Euler
- Calibration Training
- Basic probabilistic reasoning
- Basic have-you-read-the-sequences knowledge test (e.g. "Which of the following is an example of 'belief as attire'?")
Another user on the call (whose name I forget) suggested it could be fun to have a daily Fermi Estimate on LessWrong, where everyone submits their number and the model they used to reach the number. I think this would be quite exciting.
Please write answers with other exercises that you think are or might be great for rationality training, some explanation of why you think it could be good, and a suggestion of how it could be incorporated into LessWrong. I'll probably add some of the above myself.
I was thinking that if the sequences and other LW classics were a high school class, we could make something like an SAT subject test to check understanding/fluency in the subject, then that could be a badge on the site and potentially a good credential to have in your career.
The kinds of questions could be like:
1.
If a US citizen has a legal way to save $500/year on their taxes, but it requires spending 1 hour/day filling out boring paperwork on 5 days of every week, should they do it?
a. Virtually everyone should do it
b. A significant fraction (10-90%) of the population should do it
c. Virtually no one should do it
2.
With sufficient evidence and a rational deliberation process, is it possible to become sure that the Loch Ness Monster does/doesn't exist?
a. We CAN potentially become sure either way
b. We CAN'T potentially become sure either way
c. We can only potentially become sure that it DOES exist
d. We can only potentially become sure that it DOESN'T exist
I recall reading educational psych stuff about how the act of both 1) creating and 2) answering questions like this is a great way to deepen your understanding.