American odds can be basically interpreted as "The Net amount you win after making a $100 bet" So if the odds are +150 you win $150 PLUS your initial $100 bet if you win the bet.
Negative american odds means "the amount you have to be to win $100" so odds o -230 would mean you have to bet $230 to win $100
As I said epistemic status "Trivial"
This is something trivial but it's worth noticing.
The number is way too high for that. I use twitter almost an hour a day (way way too much time) and I don't hit the rate limit
Daniel was definitely strange in many socially awkward ways
Knowing what I know about Daniel, I could easily psychologically manipulate him into doing terrible acts if need be. I can easily see a person who is a master of being a cult leader (which Ziz is a top tier cult leader) mentally breaking Daniel. He (at least was) a socially awkward person who took things extremely literally and was easy to push around. He's definitely up there on the "easy" category, and cult leaders like Ziz need somebody like that. Going over Ziz's tactics, while Daniel is unlikely to have developed multiple personalities, he'd easily enter a few of the states Ziz mentions.
However I have no clue how Daniel would physically be able to commit certain acts his hand eye coordination is bad, and he's physically not very strong. If he tried to knife me to death he'd get knocked out by my overhand right or heel hooked into submission well before he got enough stabs in (I'm not a great boxer),
That's fair from a mental POV, but Daniel Blank physically has poor hand-eye coordination and bad reflexes, meaning that if he tried to shoot somebody he'd be extremely likely to miss at all but the shortest of ranges. (the murder in question was definitely gunshot based)
While he could be a part of the conspiracy his ability to have physically committed the actual act is questionable.
Sadly I lack the skills necessary to do such a monumental task otherwise I would apply. What are the "lesser" roles you are looking for?
"I also found that, controlling for rents, the partisanship of a state did not predict homelessness""
Did Partisanship correlate with rents if so what direction?
Good post, it makes me think a lot of the homeless crisis is more literally "I can't buy a home".
At what point is Ai judged to have "superhuman performance"
From what I can tell there are roughly 4 stages of "Ai performance"
Stage 1 : subhuman (this covers a lot of ground) The Ai is unable to perform as well as a top human in the field (such Ai's can still be useful)
Stage 2: The "superhuman" stage: Ai's outperform humans on normal variations of the task
Stage 3: The "adversarial stage" : Humans find adversarial examples which let them outperform the AI (This is most relevant in games) ex [starcraft 2](
Example of exploitative play allowing human to beat AI (this AI beat then top human Serral in a best of 5)
)
Stage 4 the god phase: Even in adversarial examples humans are outperformed by the computer (ex Chess)
Obviously Ai's can skip stage 3 entirely, and that does happen but I hear conflicting results on stage 3, many people argue we have superhuman results in starcraft 2, but unless there is an Ai more advanced than blizzcon alphastar, it appears we are on stage 3 (humans can reliably beat the AI with anti-AI tactics, but normal play loses). Is stage 3 generally considered "superhuman"?
Alphastar vs serral link (is there a way to collapse these?)
Yeah that's fair, I'm just so used to American odds for gambling that I mentally use them all the time for these sorts of things.
Probably should have used good old fashioned odds instead.
The reason casino's show something like "Yankee's +110 Red sox -120" is so you can easily see the casino's rake or something.