I'm in low level chronic pain including as I write this comment, so while I think the entire Andromeda galaxy might be fake, I think at least some suffering must be real, or at least I have the same confidence in my suffering as I do in my consciousness.
They people running the Karma test deserve to lose a lot of Karma for the suffering in this world.
If your hypothesis is true, that's a cruel civilization by my personal standards because of all the suffering in this world.
Yes, that is the same idea. "This is a big pile of speculation that I don't take very seriously, but I feel like if we are being simulated, that's where most simulations of me would be instantiate" Why not take it seriously, if you accept high chance that (1) our reality is a simulation, (2) we seem on track to creating a paperclip maximizer, (3) weird that I, Robert Miles, would have the personality traits that cause me to be one of the few humans so worried about humanity creating a paperclip maximizer if I'm right about us being on track to probably create one?
In your dreams do you ever see trees you think are real? I doubt your brain is simulating the trees at a very high level of detail, yet this dream simulation can fool you.
By your theory, if you believe that we are near to the singularity how should we update on the likelihood that we exist at such an incredibly important time?
We don't know that our reality is being simulated at the molecular level, we could just be fooled into thinking it is.
A historical analogy might be the assassination of Bardiya, who was the king of Persia and the son of Cyrus the Great. Darius, who led the assassination, claimed that the man he killed was an impostor who used magic powers to resemble the son of Cyrus. As Darius became the next king of Persia, everyone was brute forced into accepting his narrative of the assassination.
I meant the noise pollution example in my essay to be the Coase theorem, but I agree with you that property rights are not strong enough to solve with AI risk. I agree that AI will open up new paths for solving all kinds of problems, including giving us solutions that could end up helping with alignment.
I'm in low level chronic pain including as I write this comment, so while I think the entire Andromeda galaxy might be fake, I think at least some suffering must be real, or at least I have the same confidence in my suffering as I do in my consciousness.