marvinscheffold

marvinscheffold

Are You Going To Meet a Friend Today?

Who Feels More Alone?

Who Feels More Alone?

marvinscheffold

marvinscheffold

marvinscheffold

marvinscheffold

Imagine you live in a world with only two types of people. Introverts and extroverts. All introverts are the same. And so are all extroverts. It's a world with only two colors, and no shades in between.

Introverts like to be alone, in our world they want to meet a friend every 14 days. Extroverts love to be around other people. In our experiment they want to hang out with a friend every 2 days.

I´s and e´s also have something in common. They have short term memory loss. Everyday at midnight their brain does a full reset. So they never remember what happened yesterday.

Now that you know the basics of our thought experiment, take a guess: Which personality type feels more alone? Introverts or extroverts?

What does this question even mean? Let's say I'm an introvert. I wake up one morning and want to meet a friend. But when I call my friends, they don’t want to hang out with me.

That day I will go to bed feeling alone. But as I said above, the next morning will be a fresh start.

Here's two more ways to ask the same question. Who, on average, feels alone on more days, i’s or e’s? Whose interpersonal needs are being met less, i´s or e´s?

Did you take a guess? Maybe you picked e’s 🦅. Because they need more human interaction in general. Or you picked i’s 🏴‍☠️. Because they shoot themselves in the foot by being such loners?

Let’s take a closer look at our protagonists:

To answer this question I calculated the probability of “meeting a friend today” for each friend group mix.

What is a “friend group mix”?

If you have one introverted and one extroverted friend, your friend group mix is 1/1, one i 🏴‍☠️ & one e 🦅.
If you have 5 extroverted friends, your friend group mix is 0/5, zero i 🏴‍☠️ & five e 🦅.

Each table cell (probability of meeting a friend today) is calculated like this: probability_self * sum_probability_friends.

If an introvert has one introvert friend its: 7.14% * (1-(1-7.14%)^1) = 0.51%.
If an introvert has two extrovert friends it’s: 7.14% * (1-(1-50%)^2)

...

Introvert

Nickname: i as in ay ay, captain 🏴‍☠️

Wants to meet a friend once every

Probability wants to meet a friend today