Alexandros comments on Open Thread June 2010, Part 2 - Less Wrong

7 Post author: komponisto 07 June 2010 08:37AM

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Comment author: Alexandros 09 June 2010 11:08:07AM 2 points [-]

I think the difference is that one event is a statement about the present which is either presently true or not, and the other is a prediction. So you could illustrate the difference by using the following pairs: P(Mom on phone now) vs. P(Mom on phone tomorrow at 12:00am). In the dice case P(die just rolled but not yet examined is 1) vs. P(die I will roll will come out 1).

I do agree with Oscar though, the maths should be the same.