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Larks comments on Open Thread June 2010, Part 2 - Less Wrong
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On a related note: suppose a community of moderately rational people had one member who was a lot more informed than them on some subject, but wrong about it. Isn't it likely they might all end up wrong together? Prediction Markets was the original subject, but it could go for a much wider range of topics: Multiple Worlds, Hansonian Medicine, Far/near, Cryonics...
That's where the scientific method comes in handy, though quite a few of Hanson's posts sound like pop psychology rather than a testable hypothesis.