Add me to the list of people for whom the incentives go the exact other way: I see this obviously-April-fool thing being done with LW karma, I see it's even called "Goodhart", and it all makes me feel rather ugh about posting or commenting. (This isn't about the money for me, which I see it is for a couple of other people on Team Disincentive; I thought yesterday that more likely than not the bit about paying out money was part of the joke, and that didn't stop me feeling ugh about the whole thing.)
To be clear, this doesn't mean I think it was a bad April fool, and it doesn't mean I think continuing it a few days would have bad outcomes overall. Almost all of what I do is commenting rather than posting, and while I think my comments are generally pretty good they're never game-changing; if the tradeoff is that I comment a lot less and someone else posts a bit more then it's probably a good tradeoff.
Yeah, to be clear, I would also feel pretty terrible about the site if this is the kind of thing that would happen normally. But I feel like April Fool's is a good time to gather data on some more out-there ideas, and my guess is a short-lived experiment is unlikely to destroy the whole site, or leave too much lasting damage.
In case there's any doubt, I repeat: I'm not saying this was a bad idea, either as an April fool or as a thing to continue for a few more days.
I cross-posted two posts from the EA forum that were written and published before the start of the experiment. Let me know if that's out of scope and I can take them down or you can make them not count.
I think this is great - the monetary incentive yesterday inspired me to write a new post and post a draft from a year ago, and tonight inspired me to write a post I’ve had in my head for months. (In the spirit of Goodhart’s Law, I’m waiting till 2:01am CST to post it, so that it will show up in the list of Sunday posts). Cheers!
I am here from the future with an urgent message: this incentivized a lot of posts that were kind of shit.
Is there a way I can completely opt out of this, such that I do not have to concern myself as to what precisely is or is not considered a voting ring / etc?
To be clear:
Moderation: We'll bring mod powers against accounts that are abusing the system. We'll also do a pass over the votes at the end of the week to check for any suspicious behavior (while aiming to minimize any deanonymization).
This is a strong negative for me, to the point I am considering leaving the site as a result.
(Responding to your "To be clear" edit.)
I see.
Insofar as your point is about deanonymization, I'll say that so far in the LW team we've tried hard to not share data about identities within the team and definitely not outside of it. When I wrote that sentence I was primarily meaning "while aiming to minimize any deanonymization within the team" e.g. if we have to, one person checks an identity and doesn't tell it to the other team members. I almost didn't even think about public deanonymization as a possible outcome. When I said "pass over the votes" I'm primarily expecting us to look at userIDs which are long number/digit strings and avoid looking at actual usernames.
I only expect us to look into identities if something obvious and egregious is happening. I'm not sure what to say other than this is how it's kind of been most of the time (e.g. this has happened in the past when we've looked into sockpuppets) and I don't think you need to worry about this if you're not trying to game the system and you're not actively trying to exchange votes.
Same goes for other mod powers (e.g. bans), I think it's very unlikely you'll be affected by these things this week unless you're consciously engaging in vote trading.
(I've also opened a PM chat with you if there's things you'd like to say/ask privately.)
This is a strong negative for me, to the point I am considering leaving the site as a result.
Just for the record, we generally monitor anonymized voting activity and do very rare deanonymizing spot-checks if things look suspicious, since LessWrong has a long history of having to deal with people abusing the voting system in one way or another. I don't think the above really implies anything out of the ordinary, so if this is an issue, maybe it's been an issue for a long time?
I think it’s pretty reasonable to choose to do something a little out-there / funny on April Fool’s, even if there are additional more serious reasons to do it.
I think having a schelling day for trying weird stuff is good, and April Fool’s day seems fine. I don’r have nearly as strong a feeling as you seem to that April Fool’s jokes are never partially serious.
You could say "why would you connect the playful and the serious" and I'd be like "they're the same person, this is how they think, their character comes across when they play".
This feels close to a crux to me. Compare: if you were in a theater troupe, and someone preferred to play malicious characters, would you make the same judgment?
So, it's not a question of “playful” versus “serious” attitudes, but of “bounded by fiction” versus “executed in reality”. The former is allowed to leak into the latter in ways that are firmly on the side of nondestructive, so optional money handouts in themselves don't result in recoil. But when that unipolar filter is breached, such as when flip-side consequences like increased moderator scrutiny also arrive in reality, not having a clear barrier where you've applied the same serious consideration that the real action would receive feels like introducing something adverse under false pretenses. (There is some exception made here for psychological consequences of e.g. satire.)
The modern April Fools' tradition as I have usually interpreted it implies that otherwise egregious-seeming things done on April Fools' Day are expected to be primarily fict...
This seriously disincentivizes 'risky' comments by accounts that have a good reputation. This can easily result in strategic-voting-like suboptimal outcomes.
Highlighting this bit. I hadn't thought about this at all.
(I am not part of 'the team' btw.)
As an aside: I suspect that "If you vote as-usual and don't think about it, I do not expect you will end up explicitly trading votes with other people" is less true for me than "usual".
One of the things I tend to end up doing to discover content on a site like this is to flip through the user pages of people with whom I have had interesting comment chains.
If I ever end up doing so to someone who does the same, this would look very much like trading votes (using an external or implicit collusion mechanism).
Will the 4x multiplier for posts be retroactively applied to the posts which went up yesterday?
I'm glad the experiment will be getting a few more days. The extension will increase the quality of my posts; I was tempted to publish some more of my drafts before they were ready, but now I have an incentive to spend a few days working on them. I'm also gonna be a little less worried about them getting swamped as much by all the other good content, as I feel like happened a little bit to many today. I just hope you guys aren't running out of money!
As a lurker, I failed to understand this system in a way that led to me completely ignoring it (I probably would have engaged more with LW this week had I understood, having noticed now it feels too late to bother), so I feel like I should document what went wrong for me.
I read several front-page posts about the system but did not see this one until today. The posts I read were having fun with it rather than focusing on communication, plus the whole thing was obviously an extended April Fool's joke so I managed to come away with a host of misconceptions in...
As a lurker, I failed to understand this system in a way that led to me completely ignoring it (I probably would have engaged more with LW this week had I understood, having noticed now it feels too late to bother), so I feel like I should document what went wrong for me.
Haha, same. I don't blame this site though, I blame the deluge of April Fool's content every year for training my brain to aggressively filter April Fool's content. It's just like banner ads, I don't even see them now.
So I FINALLY just read this post because I was curious why the April Fool's thing was still on the site. All good though, I ended up with almost 50 hearts out of nowhere. Honestly it feels great because I had no idea they were coming. That's a lot of change to find in your couch!
I am personally overwhelmed by the amount of brilliant content it is being published these last days. I can barely keep pace with all these fantastic articles.
I have already made a Post to LW that I would not have counterfactually, and expect to do 1-2 more this week as a result of the experiment. Part of it for me is a psychological forcing function: if I did not have a particular time at which to do this, well, now I do. I will be interested in seeing if there's an increase or decrease April 8-22 relative to the pre-experiment trend: I'm not very confident in the direction, but I do have an expectation of higher variance relative to an average week.
I believe no-one has stated what to me seems rather obvious:
There's a difference between not winning the lottery and almost winning the lottery. If yesterday you had told me that I would not be making 200$ via LW comments, this wouldn't have bothered me, but now that I perceive an opportunity to win 200$ via LW comments, it does bother me if I don't succeed. I'm not saying this makes the experiment a bad idea, but it is psychologically unnerving.
On the subject of "maybe we should tolerate a little bit of Goodharting in the name of encouraging people to post", the EA Forum allows authors to view readership statistics for their posts. I think this is a cool feature and it would be nice if LessWrong also adopted it.
Writing on LessWrong, I find myself missing the feature for a couple reasons:
I share much of the same failings to be incentivised to comment as some of the other commenters here¹, but at the same time I was indeed motivated to finish up the draft I was working on, which is a bit of a contradiction even to myself. One obvious difference to me is that I was already planning on publishing my draft, and I was never remotely concerned that it was motivated by misaligned incentives; if it ended up getting an ungodly number of votes, then it must have just been that good.
For smaller comments I am much more concerned that attention is a ra...
I'm already feeling a degree of adverse incentives. Getting money involved makes me more reticent to comment rather than more eager.
I don't want to be perceived as grubbing for money, and I feel like there's a risk of being treated harshly by a voting audience that are now on guard against (and seeking to massively downvote) people trying to game the system.
Is this meant to disincentivize downvoting, or is that accidental? Pinning a monetary value to votes makes me feel like downvoting unclear, inaccurate, or off-topic content is literally taking money away from someone.
And, half-jokingly: If a post gets a net negative number of votes, it implies that the author would be expected to pay the site.
Incurring debt for negative votes is a hilarious image: "Fool! Your muddled, meandering post has damaged our community's norm of high-quality discussion and polluted the precious epistemic commons of the LessWrong front page -- now you must PAY for your transgression!!!"
Well, but in fact people don't incur debt for negative votes, so there is no such clique. I feel like you're saying "this joke is funny from the perspective of some of the people in the joke and not funny from the perspective of others of them"? And I feel like that might be true, but it doesn't feel super relevant to whether the joke is funny outside of the joke?
My own reply to TLW would be something like: yes, if that happened it would have that effect, and that would be bad. And also, it's a pretty funny-to-me idea! Putting those two sentences next to each other suggests there's some relation between them, like your intent was to say "it's not funny because if it was true, a clique of users...". But that's not how humor works in my brain, at least, and I'd be kinda surprised if it worked that way in yours.
This was an interesting experience, and I appreciate that you're actively doing experiments with the site. With that being said, I sure am glad that it's going to be over in a few hours :). I'm looking forward to the retrospective, though!
Date: Good Heart Tokens will continue to be accrued until EOD Thursday April 7th (Pacific Time). I do not expect to extend it beyond then.
So are they only accrued during the period of time?
And are they exchangeable after the period of time is over?
Will the 4x multiplier for posts be permanent, when GH points become karma again? I'm not actually against this, but it should be clarified as intentional.
What counts as an "employee of the Center for Applied Rationality"? I do various work for CFAR on a part-time or contract basis but haven't worked there full-time for a while, does that make me ineligible?
May I (only half jokingly) recommend my post about writing good posts?
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8BGexmqqAx5Z2KFjW/how-to-make-your-article-change-people-s-minds-or-actions
“Today I'm here to tell you: this is actually happening and it will last a week. You will get a payout if you give us a PayPal/ETH address or name a charity of your choosing.”
How do we give you the name of a charity? I only see fields to enter a PayPal and email address on the payment info page.
I am looking forward to the results of this experiment. Will we notice an increase in smaller posts? Increase in comments? Increase or decrease in quality of posts? Increase or decrease in quality of comments?
Yesterday we launched Good Heart Tokens, and said they could be exchanged for 1 USD each.
Today I'm here to tell you: this is actually happening and it will last a week. You will get a payout if you give us a PayPal/ETH address or name a charity of your choosing.
Note that voting rings and fundraising are now out of scope, we will be removing and banning users who do that kind of thing starting now. More on this at the end of the post.
Also, we're tentatively changing posts to be worth 4x the Good Heart Tokens of comments (Update: we decided on 3x instead, and it just went live, at around 4:20PM PT on April 2nd).
Why is this experiment continuing?
Let me state the obvious: if this new system were to last for many months or years, I expect these financial rewards would change the site culture for the worse. It would select on pretty different motives for being here, and importantly select on different people who are doing the voting, and then the game would be up.
(Also I would spend a lot of my life catching people explicitly trying to game the system.)
However, while granting this, I suspect that in the short run giving LessWrong members and lurkers a stronger incentive than usual to write well-received stuff has the potential to be great for the site.
For instance, I think the effect yesterday on site regulars was pretty good. I'll quote AprilSR who said:
I think lots of people wrote good stuff, much more than a normal day. Personally my favorite thing that happened due to this yesterday was when people published a bunch of their drafts that had been sitting around, some of which I thought were excellent. I hope this will be a kick for many people to actually sit down and write that post they've had in their heads for a while.
(I certainly don't think money will be a motivator for all people, but I suspect it is true for enough that it will be worth it for us given the Lightcone Infrastructure team's value of money.)
I'm really interested to find out what happens over a week, I have a hope it will be pretty good, and the Lightcone Infrastructure team has the resources that makes the price worth it to us. So I invite you into this experiment with us :)
Info and Rules
Here's the basic info and rules:
Go forth and write excellent posts and comments!