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Nominated Posts for the 2019 Review

Posts need at least 2 nominations to continue into the Review Phase.
Nominate posts that you have personally found useful and important.
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3109
49How common is it for one entity to have a 3+ year technological lead on its nearest competitor?
QΩ
Daniel Kokotajlo
6y
QΩ
20
1 • 0
122What Comes After Epistemic Spot Checks?
Elizabeth
6y
9
1 • 0
52"The Bitter Lesson", an article about compute vs human knowledge in AI
the gears to ascension
6y
14
1 • 0
66Combat vs Nurture & Meta-Contrarianism
abramdemski
7y
12
1 • 0
91What I've Learned From My Parents' Arranged Marriage
squidious
7y
16
1 • 0
70Reneging prosocially by Duncan Sabien
philip_b
6y
5
1 • 0
70AGI will drastically increase economies of scale
Ω
Wei Dai
6y
Ω
26
1 • 0
92Reframing the evolutionary benefit of sex
paulfchristiano
6y
21
1 • 0
101The LessWrong 2018 Review
Raemon
6y
91
1 • 0
67Separation of Concerns
abramdemski
6y
30
1 • 0
32Calibrating With Cards
[anonymous]6y
3
1 • 0
148Integrating disagreeing subagents
Kaj_Sotala
6y
15
1 • 0
55Perfect Competition
Zvi
6y
29
1 • 0
113CO2 Stripper Postmortem Thoughts
Diffractor
6y
37
1 • 0
171Jeff Hawkins on neuromorphic AGI within 20 years
Steven Byrnes
6y
24
1 • 0
95Naked mole-rats: A case study in biological weirdness
eukaryote
6y
14
1 • 0
61Book Review: Why Are The Prices So Damn High?
sarahconstantin
6y
7
1 • 0
82Misconceptions about continuous takeoff
Ω
Matthew Barnett
6y
Ω
38
1 • 0
44Self-consciousness wants to make everything about itself
jessicata
6y
70
1 • 0
165The Commitment Races problem
Ω
Daniel Kokotajlo
6y
Ω
56
1 • 0
533 Cultural Infrastructure Ideas from MAPLE
Unreal
6y
15
1 • 0
73Imperfect Competition
Zvi
6y
8
1 • 0
74Moral Mazes and Short Termism
Zvi
6y
21
1 • 0
87Two explanations for variation in human abilities
Matthew Barnett
6y
28
2 • 1
232Mistakes with Conservation of Expected Evidence
abramdemski
6y
29
2 • 1
167The Schelling Choice is "Rabbit", not "Stag"
Raemon
6y
52
2 • 3
185human psycholinguists: a critical appraisal
nostalgebraist
6y
60
2 • 2
180Selection vs Control
Ω
abramdemski
6y
Ω
27
2 • 2
87Neural Annealing: Toward a Neural Theory of Everything (crosspost)
Michael Edward Johnson
6y
29
2 • 3
119The Hard Work of Translation (Buddhism)
romeostevensit
7y
139
2 • 3
72Classifying specification problems as variants of Goodhart's Law
Ω
Vika
6y
Ω
5
2 • 1
82Approval Extraction Advertised as Production
Benquo
6y
40
2 • 3
135Propagating Facts into Aesthetics
Raemon
6y
38
2 • 1
87Bioinfohazards
Spiracular
6y
14
2 • 2
79How Much is Your Time Worth?
lynettebye
6y
22
2 • 1
87But exactly how complex and fragile?
Ω
KatjaGrace
6y
Ω
32
2 • 1
61Dishonest Update Reporting
Zvi
6y
27
2 • 2
237Rest Days vs Recovery Days
Unreal
7y
36
2 • 1
60Dual Wielding
Zvi
6y
23
2 • 3
174Integrity and accountability are core parts of rationality
habryka
6y
69
2 • 1
97Reframing Impact
Ω
TurnTrout
6y
Ω
15
2 • 1
55Megaproject management
ryan_b
7y
11
2 • 1
181Book Summary: Consciousness and the Brain
Kaj_Sotala
7y
20
2 • 1
122Reframing Superintelligence: Comprehensive AI Services as General Intelligence
Ω
Rohin Shah
7y
Ω
77
2 • 2
208Chris Olah’s views on AGI safety
Ω
evhub
6y
Ω
40
2 • 2
221Debate on Instrumental Convergence between LeCun, Russell, Bengio, Zador, and More
Ω
Ben Pace
6y
Ω
61
2 • 2
103Total horse takeover
KatjaGrace
6y
14
2 • 1
175Make more land
jefftk
6y
36
2 • 5
70What determines the balance between intelligence signaling and virtue signaling?
Q
Wei Dai, Jacob Falkovich
6y
Q
37
2 • 0
107Gradient hacking
Ω
evhub
6y
Ω
39
2 • 2
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2019 Review Discussion

The Real Rules Have No Exceptions
146
Said Achmiz
6y

(This is a comment that has been turned into a post.)

From Chris_Leong’s post, “Making Exceptions to General Rules”:

Suppose you make a general rule, ie. “I won’t eat any cookies”. Then you encounter a situation that legitimately feels exceptional , “These are generally considered the best cookies in the entire state”. This tends to make people torn between two threads of reasoning:

  1. Clearly the optimal strategy is to make an exception this one time and then follow the rule the rest of the time.

  2. If you break the rule this one time, then you risk dismantling the rule and ending up not following it at all.

How can we resolve this? …

This is my answer:

Consider even a single exception to totally undermine any rule. Consequently, only follow rules with no exceptions.[1].

...
(See More - 241 more words)
snapcaster1d10

Can't agree more. I've found this mindset to be super useful for health and weight loss journey. Anytime I encounter someone with a lot of rules that involve "trying" or "sometimes" it's pretty clear they're not gonna make it (and i've never seen a non drug-assisted exception to this)

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