I think you can sort kids into a couple of categories, which have dramatically different needs.
Overall I feel like college is the wrong unit for debate. All of the alternatives Ben mentions are good, but none require you to foreswear college- you could do in a gap year or college break, or as a hobby during high school, college, or early career. Getting people thinking about what they could do, and how college trades offs with those plans, seems much more valuable.
Very helpful breakdown!
Perhaps a better debate for Saul and I would've been for us to debate between Saul going to college and a specific alternative plan for Saul.
solved: i think you mean it as this wikipedia article describes:
The word albatross is sometimes used metaphorically to mean a psychological burden (most often associated with guilt or shame) that feels like a curse.
Correct. I basically meant people who can only attend college with a lot of debt, and won't obviously have a career that makes it an easy burden, but didn't want to go on a time-consuming tangent about the conditionals.
A different perspective: Colleges very, very badly want you to graduate - especially if you look like you have been doing something other than playing videogames high on weed in your apartment for four years. The upshot of this is that in the case suggested (top 1% IQ, top 50% conscientiousness) after a threshold of maybe 5 hours a week, any effort put specifically towards graduating is basically wasted- going to college with the goal of graduating is severely, severely under-determined. Take chemistry classes! Take physics classes! Take graduate math classes without the prerequisites and fail them! Calculate which essays you don't strictly have to turn in! Build a rocket ship or a race car! Found a startup! Practice bullying administrators into giving you class credit for all of the above!
What college is providing you is 35 hours a week of working time to do with as you please, access to 3-D printers, a machine shop, math classes, the local supercomputer, a chemistry lab, oscilloscopes and signal generators, and zero unemployment stigma. The marginal cost of also getting the credentials while you are there is tiny.
When push comes to shove, you cannot spend 4 years on the goal "graduate from college." There are very few tasks that you can achieve without a college degree that would be significantly more difficult to achieve while getting a college degree.
(There are also degrees which you absolutely can't get with 5 hours a week of effort. Selecting one of them is a choice, and frankly, these are not degrees that you are going to successfully self teach.)
Thanks for the comment! I think this is a good attitude, and if you can sustain this attitude this then I think it's a pretty great deal. I suspect that many cannot hold this attitude, and will feel much more constrained in their choices or the narratives they tell themselves and people in their lives about their time at college, and think more like they're primarily supposed to do something that other people tell them or expect of them with their time at college.
I myself just barely graduated, in substantial part because of this reason that you mentioned, that my college definitely wanted me to graduate, and so I was able to spend a lot of my time on side-projects. (But I found the experience of pretending to be a proper college student very stressful.)
I think you should go to college if it sounds pleasant and fulfilling to go to one of the colleges you could go to (as Saul stated colleges have many fancy amenities) and you are OK with sacrificing:
in order to do something pleasant and fulfilling. You should also go to college if you don't have any plan to get a job you like without a college degree, but you do have a plan to do it with a college degree, since it's very important to get a job you like. Although, given that college is a huge investment, maybe you should have made that plan, or be making it.
If you aren't looking forward to spending 4 more years in school a lot, and you could get a reasonable job without going to college, I think it would be crazy to go to college.
I don't think most people are likely to be confused about which of these groups they are in. If Saul is confused I apologize but I think he must be a rare case.
The other arguments Saul made in his opening statement about why you might want to go to college seem very weak to me:
Defaults are for what a person with no information should do without thinking. Everyone at 16 has a huge amount of information about themselves, their dreams, their abilities, how they relate to school, how they relate to others, what the contemporaneous world is like. The default is not responsive to any of that. It's completely inappropriate to be applying some super-general policy about norms and conformity when considering some giant extremely specific high-stakes offer that is only about your own life. This is what I disagree with the most in this dialogue.
I think your counter-point to the chesterton's fence point is pretty good; however I think it's genuinely hard for many teenagers to understand what the choice is that they're making. I don't think I had much idea.
I really like the option that someone (I think Saul) proposed where you go to college for one year, with a commitment to take a gap year for the second year, after which you actually know what you're choosing between.
the philosophy department thinks you should defect in a one-shot prisoners’ dilemma
Without further qualifications, shouldn't you? There are plenty of crazy mainstream philosophical ideas, but this seems like a strange example.
Oops, I think I should've written that they think you should always defect in a one-shot prisoners' dilemma.
My understanding is that the majority of philosophers endorse Causal Decision Theory, in which you should always defect in a one-shot prisoners' dilemma, even if you're playing with a copy of yourself, whereas I think Logical Decision Theory is superior, which cooperates in that situation.
[I've edited the debate to include the word 'always'.]
I can't speak for humanities degrees, but if you're going to an engineering school, you're almost certainly going to need at least some of what you learn in college in order to work as an engineer. (To paraphase a saying, half of what you learn as an engineering student might never get used in a real job, but you can't predict which half!) Furthermore, programming is unusually easy to self-study compared to most STEM disciplines (no need to learn differential equations!), and it's a lot easier to show you can work as a programmer by writing and demonstrating your own computer program than it is to demonstrate that you can work as an aerospace engineer by building and demonstrating your own airplane.
I imagine the same thing is true of other professional degrees: you're not going to become a physician or nurse without first attending the appropriate institutions.
Also, if you're like my brother and have "make a fuckton of money" as a major life goal, "be a smart person and attend a prestigious college" opens up a lot of doors to ridiculously high paying positions. He's not "unicorn startup founder" rich, but he is a multimillionaire who has been paid more money in a single year working at a hedge fund than my father, a retired professor of electrical engineering, made in his lifetime. (I wouldn't trade lives with him, incidentally - I don't want to have an 80 hour work week, and video games are cheap.)
This is tangential to the post at best, but I just wanted to say the equivalent of #notallconsultants. I very much agree about the McKinseys of the world, but there is also a world of more technically-focused consulting, which is where I am. What I've learned is that:
1) The specialty of a good consultant isn't business or management, it's transfer of learning.
2) Most large organizations are extremely bad at internal transfer of learning. Even ones that try very hard, like having well-built internal knowledge sharing systems and full-time librarians.
3) Most teams at most companies have no idea what the full extent of their own organizations' capabilities are, and don't have the clout to leverage those capabilities even when they do know.
4) Most teams, even at large companies with big budgets, are understaffed relative to what they're asked to do.
5) No one has enough time to consistently help others learn what they know when it's needed, especially if it's not their department's or their role's main job. Having someone generally smart that you hire for a project, where they're responsive and dedicated to the task, is sometimes worth more than getting an hour here and there, scattered over months, from someone with a lot more domain expertise.
Epistemic Status: Soldier mindset. These are not (necessarily) our actual positions, these are positions we were randomly assigned by a coin toss, and for which we searched for the strongest arguments we could find, over the course of ~1hr 45mins. That said, this debate is a little messy between our performed positions and our personal ones.
Sides: Ben is arguing against getting a college degree, and Saul is arguing for. (This is a decision Saul is currently making for himself!)
Reading Order: Ben and Saul drafted each round of statements simultaneously. This means that each of Ben's statements you read were written without Ben having read Saul's statements that are immediately proceeding. (This does not apply to the back-and-forth interview.)
Saul's Opening Statement
Ben's Opening Statement
Ben interviews Saul
Saul interviews Ben
Saul's Rebuttal
Ben's Rebuttal
Saul's Closing Statement
Ben's Closing Statement