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Stephen Hsu estimates that we'll be able to have genetically enhanced children with IQs ~15 points higher in the next 10 years.
Bostrom and Carl Schulman's paper on iterated embryo selection roughly agrees.
It seems almost too good to be true. The arguments/facts that lead us to believe that it will happen soon are:
I still "alieve" that it's too good to be true. Does anybody have any reason to doubt the claims made above?
Also, the ~15 point estimate is based on the assumption that we don't do iterated embryo selection (which can't be done in humans yet).
The difference between having a child with an IQ 55 vs IQ 145 partner already gives you more than 15 IQ points in your child on average.