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7TsviBT's Shortform
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1y
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141
leogao's Shortform
TsviBT42m20

https://sites.santafe.edu/~wbarthur/thenatureoftechnology.htm

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LWLW's Shortform
TsviBT5d60

(For reference, 135 is 2.33 SDs, which works out to about 1 in 100, i.e. you're the WAISest person in the room with 100 randomly chosen adults. Cf. https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2022/08/the-power-of-selection.html#samples-to-standard-deviations )

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The "Length" of "Horizons"
TsviBT5d74

AI can do longer and longer coding tasks.

But this is not a good category; it contains both [the type of long coding task that involves having to creatively figure out several points] and also other long coding tasks. So the category does not support the inference. It makes it easier for AI builders to run... some funny subset of "long coding tasks".

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Training Regime Day 3: Tips and Tricks
TsviBT9d40

The "Boggle" section of this could almost be a transcript from the CFAR class. Should be acknowledged.

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Tomás B.'s Shortform
TsviBT10d172

I don't necessarily disagree with what you literally wrote. But also, at a more pre-theoretic level, IMO the sequence of events here should be really disturbing (if you haven't already been disturbed by other similar sequences of events). And I don't know what to do with that disturbedness, but "just feel disturbed and don't do anything" also doesn't seem right. (Not that you said that.)

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TsviBT's Shortform
TsviBT11d20

(I think I'll go with "alloprosphanize" for now... not catchy but ok. https://tsvibt.github.io/theory/pages/bl_25_10_08_12_27_48_493434.html )

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TsviBT's Shortform
TsviBT11d20

Exoclarification? Alloclarification? Democlarification (dēmos - "people")?

These are good ideas, thanks!

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TsviBT's Shortform
TsviBT11d40

Ostentiation:

So there's steelmanning, where you construct a view that isn't your interlocutor's but is, according to you, more true / coherent / believable than your interlocutor's. Then there's the Ideological Turing Test, where you restate your interlocutor's view in such a way that ze fully endorses your restatement.

Another dimension is how clear things are to the audience. A further criterion for restating your interlocutor's view is the extent to which your restatement makes it feasible / easy for your audience to (accurately) judge that view. You could pass an ITT without especially hitting this bar. Your interlocutor's view may have an upstream crux that ze doesn't especially feel has to be brought out (so, not necessary for the ITT), but which is the most cruxy element for most of the audience. You can pass the ITT while emphasizing that crux or while not emphasizing that crux; from your interlocutor's point of view, the crux is not necessarily that central, but is agreeable if stated.

A proposed term for this bar of exposition / restatement: ostentiate / ostentiation. Other terms:

  • ekthesize / exthesize; phosphanize, epiphotize; elogize; anaply / anaplain; anaptychize / exptychize / eptychize;
  • adluminate, superluminate; ostentiate, superostentiate;
  • belight, beshine, enbeacon.
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johnswentworth's Shortform
TsviBT12d190

Cf. https://web.archive.org/web/20120331071849/http://www.paul-almond.com/WhatIsALowLevelLanguage.htm

Reply1
Jan_Kulveit's Shortform
TsviBT12d2333

is a fine example of thinking you get when smart people do evil things and their minds come up with smart justifications why they are the heroes

I want to just agree because fuck those guys, but actually I think it's also shit justifications. A good justification might come from exploring the various cases where we have decided to not make something, analyzing them, and then finding that there's some set of reasons that those cases don't transfer as possibilities for AI stuff.

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138Do confident short timelines make sense?
3mo
76
41A regime-change power-vacuum conjecture about group belief
4mo
16
83Genomic emancipation
4mo
14
80Some reprogenetics-related projects you could help with
4mo
1
76Policy recommendations regarding reproductive technology
5mo
2
59Attend the 2025 Reproductive Frontiers Summit, June 10-12
5mo
0
30[Linkpost] Visual roadmap to strong human germline engineering
6mo
0
50The vision of Bill Thurston
7mo
34
76The principle of genomic liberty
7mo
51
149Methods for strong human germline engineering
8mo
29
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Tracking
8 months ago
(+191)
Tracking
8 months ago
(+2/-2)
Tracking
8 months ago
(+1571)
Joint probability distribution
9 years ago
(+850)
Square visualization of probabilities on two events
9 years ago
(+72)