Luke_A_Somers comments on Amanda Knox: post mortem - Less Wrong

23 Post author: gwern 20 October 2011 04:10PM

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Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 21 October 2011 08:50:17PM 2 points [-]

It gets worse - the most severe crimes face the strongest pro-conviction biases.

Comment author: komponisto 21 October 2011 09:29:03PM 1 point [-]

...which is of course exactly the opposite of how it should work.

Comment author: FAWS 21 October 2011 10:40:45PM *  2 points [-]

I agree if you mean that the damage from an irrational bias is higher when the stakes are higher, but disagree if you mean that rational marginal certainty levels needed for conviction would be higher for severe crimes. The risks from letting a thief go free (more thefts) seem lower than the risks from letting a murderer go free (more murders) even compared to the damage done to a potential convicted innocent (assuming no death penalty, and also assuming higher conviction rates would actually result in fewer of the real culprits going free, which often does not seem to be the case).