Desrtopa comments on Amanda Knox: post mortem - Less Wrong

23 Post author: gwern 20 October 2011 04:10PM

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Comment author: Desrtopa 21 October 2011 02:39:11PM 2 points [-]

Depends on where the anonymous internet people are selected from. From Youtube comments? Very little. From here? Quite a lot more.

If I knew that it were something that the people here had put a lot of thought into, and that nearly everybody here thought that I was completely wrong, I would need tremendous prior certainty not to be reduced below .5.

Comment author: brazil84 21 October 2011 03:13:06PM 0 points [-]

If I knew that it were something that the people here had put a lot of thought into, and that nearly everybody here thought that I was completely wrong, I would need tremendous prior certainty not to be reduced below .5.

Even if the dispute were in an area where you believed you had unusual expertise?

Comment author: Desrtopa 21 October 2011 03:18:32PM 4 points [-]

If the other members were aware of my assessment of my expertise and reasons for assigning it, and were not moved from high confidence that I was wrong, then yes. I would need very strong confidence in my having unique qualifications to not mostly discount on the basis of their discounting.

Comment author: Jack 21 October 2011 03:24:55PM 2 points [-]

If the other members were aware of my assessment of my expertise and reasons for assigning it, and were not moved from high confidence that I was wrong, then yes.

Quoted so it won't get missed. This is a really important point.

Comment author: brazil84 23 October 2011 10:32:21AM 0 points [-]

I think the difference is that you have a lot of respect for posters here as a group. I do not.